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Intro How to use this book 3

1. Forex? What is it, anyway? (a simple introduction, for the very beginners…) 4

2. What is Forex trading? What is a Forex deal? 6

3. What is the global Forex market? 12

4. Overview of trading Forex online 21

5. Training for success 25

6. Technical Analysis: patterns and forecast methods used

today 29

7. Fundamental Analysis and leading market indicators 47

8. Day-Trading (on the Easy-Forex™ Trading Platform) 56

9. Twenty issues you must consider 61

10. Tips for every Forex trader 67

11. Forex glossary 74

12. Disclaimer (risk warning) 110

Chapter 1. Introduction 7

1.1. Foreign Exchange as a Financial Market 7

1.2. Foreign Exchange in a Historical Perspective 8

1.3. Main Stages of Recent Foreign Exchange Development 9

The Bretton Woods Accord 9

The International Monetary Fund 9

Free-Floating of Currencies 10

The European Monetary Union 11

The European Monetary Cooperation Fund 12

The Euro 12

1.4. Factors Caused Foreign Exchange Volume Growth 13

Interest Rate Volatility 13

Business Internationalization 13

Increasing of Corporate Interest 13

Increasing of Traders Sophistication 13

Developments in Telecommunications 14

Computer and Programming Development 14

Chapter 2. Kinds Of Major Currencies

and Exchange Systems 15

2.1. Major Currencies 15

The U.S. Dollar 15

The Euro 15

The Japanese Yen 16

The British Pound 16

The Swiss Franc 16

2.2. Kinds of Exchange Systems 17

Trading with Brokers 17

Direct Dealing 18

Dealing Systems 18

Matching Systems 18

2.3. The Federal Reserve System of the USA and

Central Banks of the Other G-7 Countries 20

The Federal Reserve System of the USA 20

The Central Banks of the Other G-7 Countries 21

Chapter 3. Kinds of Foreign Exchange Market 23

3.1. Spot Market 23

3.2. Forward Market 26

3.3. Futures Market 27

3.4. Currency Options 28

Delta 30

Gamma 30

Vega 30

Theta 31

Chapter 4. Fundamental Analysis32

4.1. Economic Fundamentals 32

Theories of Exchange Rate Determination 32

Purchasing Power Parity 32

The PPP Relative Version 33

Theory of Elasticities 33

Modern Monetary Theories on Short-term Exchange

Rate Volatility 33

The Portfolio-Balance Approach 34

Synthesis of Traditional and Modern MonetaryViews 34

4.2. Economic Indicators 35

The Gross National Product (GNP) 35

The Gross Domestic Product (GDP) 35

Consumption Spending 36

Investment Spending 36

Government Spending 36

Net Trade 36

Industrial Production 36

Capacity Utilization 36

Factory Orders 37

Durable Goods Orders 37

Business Inventories 37

Construction Indicators 37

Inflation Indicators 38

Producer Price Index (PPI) 39

Consumer Price Index (CPI) 39

Gross National Product Implicit Deflator 39

Gross Domestic Product Implicit Deflator 39

Commodity Research Bureau's Futures Index (CRB Index) 39

The “Journal of Commerce” Industrial Price Index (Joc) 40

Merchandise Trade Balance 40

Employment Indicators 40

Employment Cost Index (ECI) 41

Consumer Spending Indicators 41

Auto Sales 41

Leading Indicators 42

Personal Income 42

4.3. Financial and Sociopolitical Factors 43

The Role of Financial Factors 43

Political Events and Crises 44

Chapter 5. Technical Analysis 45

5.1. The Evolution and Fundamentals of Technical

Analysis Theory of Dow 45

Price 45

Volume and Open Interest 47

5.2. Types of Charts 49

Line Chart 49

Bar Chart 50

Candlestick Chart 51

5.3. Trends, Support and Resistance 53

Kinds of Trends 53

Percentage Retracement 55

The Trendline 55

Lines of Support and Resistance 57

5.4. Trend Reversal Patterns 59

Head-and-Shoulders 59

Signal Generated by the Head-and-shouldersPattern 59

Inverse Head-and-Shoulders 61

Double Top 61

Signals Provided by the Double Top Formation 62

Double Bottom 63

Triple Top and Triple Bottom 63

The opposite is true for the triple bottom 64

Rounded Top and Bottom Formations 65

Diamond Formation 65

5.5. Trend Continuation Patterns 67

Flag Formation 67

Pennant Formation 67

Triangle Formation 70

Wedge Formation 75

Rectangle Formation 76

5.6. Gaps 78

Common Gaps 78

Breakaway Gaps 78

Runaway Gaps 79

Trading Signals for Runaway Gaps 79

Exhaustion Gaps 80

5.7. Mathematical Trading Methods (Indicators) 81

Moving Averages 81

Trading Signals of Moving Averages 83

Oscillators 84

Stochastics 85

Moving Average Convergence-Divergence (MACD) 86

Momentum 87

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) 88

Rate of Change (ROC) 89

Larry Williams %R 90

Commodity Channel Index (CCI) 90

Bollinger Bands 93

The Parabolic System (SAR) 93

The directional movement index (DMI) 93

Chapter 6. The Fibonacci Analysis and

Elliott Wave Theory 95

6.1. The Fibonacci Analysis 95

6.2. The Elliott Wave 96

Basics of Wave Analysis 96

Impulse Waves—Variations 98

The Diagonal Triangles 100

Failures (Truncated Fifths) 102

Chapter 7. Foreign Exchange Risks 104

7.1. Exchange Rate Risk 104

7.2. Interest Rate Risk 106

7.3. Credit Risk 107

7.4. Country Risk 108

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Chapter 1 Getting Started………………………………. Page 5

Chapter 2 For Novices Only……………………………. Page 6

Chapter 3 Forex Profits Strategy ………………………. Page 8

Chapter 4 Trade Entry………………………………….. Page 14

Chapter 5 Keeping Risk Down…………………………. Page 15

Chapter 6 How to Gain Maximum Profits……………… Page 17

Chapter 7 Trade Examples and Commentary………… Page 19

Chapter 8 When to Trade………………………………. Page 31

Chapter 9 Frequently Asked Questions……………… Page 32

Appendix Helpful Resources…………………………… Page 34

50,000 Traders & Their Forex Frustrations..........................................................5

I hear a lot about Forex trading and am very interested in learning more about it.

Can you give me a brief overview of the basics of Forex?.......................................7

How do the Forex markets operate on a 24 hour basis? ........................................9

Can you take me through a typical trade scenario?..............................................10

What types of orders do I use with Forex trading? ...............................................10

How much can I expect to make with Forex trading? ...........................................11

Forex seems to be quite different from trading stocks. What are the benefits and

risks in comparison and would a much bigger account be needed?.....................11

How do I find a reliable Forex broker? ..................................................................12

What are the best Forex pairs to trade? ...............................................................13

What is the best trading platform and charting software for both beginners and

more experienced traders alike and where should I obtain the most reliable data?

..............................................................................................................................14

Is it better to use fundamental or technical analysis with Forex trading? ............15

I am not able to dedicate the time it takes to day trade the markets. Is it possible

to trade the Forex markets on an end‐of‐day basis so I can take advantage of the

Power Forex Profit Principles

Copyright © Profits Run, Inc. Page 4 of 77

market trends while working my regular job or when sleeping? ..........................16

How is it possible to trade the Forex markets on an end‐of‐day basis using daily

bar charts when the markets are always open? ...................................................19

What are the attributes of a good Forex trading method? ...................................22

Why don’t all setup conditions trigger into positions? (NEW) ..............................23

What are the best technical indicators to use?.....................................................23

What simple strategy can I use to find good entry points?...................................29

How can I determine the initial stop loss, trailing stops, and exit points? ............31

How can I find a Forex method that works almost all of the time with minimal or

no losses?..............................................................................................................34

How can I minimize downside risk while still capturing quality gains in the Forex

markets? ...............................................................................................................35

What account size do I need to trade the Forex markets?....................................36

Where are the big money opportunities trading Forex? (NEW) ...........................37

How are orders placed with Forex brokers? (NEW) ..............................................40

How important is it to have a trading mentor? (NEW) .........................................46

Forex freedom in just 20 minutes a day?..............................................................48

Why Are You Interested In Forex? ........................................................................50

Forex Survey Summary..........................................................................................53

CHAPTER 1 : CHART TYPES.. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ... 1

1.1. Basic Charts, 1

1.2. Candlestick Charts, 5

1.3. Three Line Price Break Charts (3LPB), 9

CHAPTER 2: BAR GROUPS.. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13

2.1. Market Structures, 13

2.2. Three Bar Groups, 19

2.3. Matching HighsILows, 23

2.4. n-Bar Rallies/Declines, 27

2.5. 7-Day Narrow Range & Inside Day, 3 1

2.6. 7-Day Wide Range & Outside Day, 35

CHAPTER 3: PIVOTS. .. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. 39

3.1. Floor Pivots, 39

3.2. Globex (Overnight) Pivots, 43

3.3. Opening Range Pivots, 47

3.4. FibZone Pivots, 5 1

CHAPTER 4: FIBONACCI.. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 55

4.1. Fibonacci Trading, 55

4.2. Symmetry Patterns, 6 1

4.3. Market Fractals, 65

vii

CHAPTER 5: HARMONIC PATTERNS.. . . . . . ; . . . . . . . . . . 69

5.1. ABC Patterns, 69

5.2. Gartley Pattern, 73

5.3. Bat Pattern, 79

5.4. Butterfly Pattern, 83

5.5. Crab Pattern, 87

CHAPTER 6: GEOMETRIC PATTERNS.. . . . . . . . . . . . . ... 91

6.1. Triangles, 9 1

6.2. Rectangle Pattern, 99

6.3. Flags, 103

6.4. Wedge Patterns, 109

6.5. Diamond Pattern, 115

CHAPTER 7: CHANNELS.. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 119

7.1. Rectangle Channels, 1 19

7.2. Donchian Channel, 123

7.3. Broadening Pattern (Megaphone), 127

7.4. Linear Regression Channel, 133

7.5. Andrew's Pitchfork, 137

CHAPTER 8: BANDS.. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. 141

8.1. Bollinger Bands, 141

8.2. Keltner Bands, 145

8.3. Fibonacci Bands, 149

CHAPTER 9: ZIGZAG.. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 153

9.1. Zigzag Patterns, 153

9.2. Elliott Wave, 157

9.3. Crown Pattern, 161

CHAPTER 10: PRICE-ACTION.. .. .. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 165

10.1. Cup and Handle Pattern, 165

10.2. Head and Shoulders Pattern, 169

10.3. Parabolic Arc Pattern, 175

10.4. Three Hills and A Mountain Pattern, 179

1 0.5. Three Valleys and A River Pattern, 1 83

10.6. Spike and Ledge Pattern, 187

CHAPTER 11: TOPS AND BOTTOMS.. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 191

1 1.1. Adam-Eve Patterns, 19 1

1 1.2. Trader Vic's 2B Patterns, 195

1 1.3. Trader Vic's 1-2-3 Patterns, 20 1

1 1.4. Pipe Pattern, 205

11.5. M and W Patterns, 209

1 1.6. Round Top Pattern, 2 13

1 1.7. Round Bottom Pattern, 2 17

1 1.8. V-Top Pattern, 22 1

1 1.9. V-Bottom Pattern, 225

1 1.10. Double Top Pattern, 229

1 1.1 1. Double Bottom Pattern, 233

1 1.1 2. Triple Top Pattern, 237

1 1.1 3. Triple Bottom Pattern, 24 1

CHAPTER 12: EXOTIC PATTERNS.. .. . . . . . . . . . -... . . . ..2 45

12.1. Dragon Pattern, 245

12.2. Sea Horse Pattern, 25 1

12.3. Scallops Pattern, 255

CHAPTER 13: EVENT PATTERNS.. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 259

13.1. Gaps, 259

13.2. Dead Cat Bounce, 265

1 3.3. Island Reversal Pattern, 269

APPENDIX.. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 273

Definitions, 274

Bibliography, 275

About .the Author, 276

 
 

Chapter 1 Introduction to Currency Trading on the FOREX Market

1. History of the FOREX market ..4

2. Why the market was formed .5

3. What moves the market .6

4. Why it is attracting so many investors ... 7

Chapter 2 Basics of Trading FOREX

1. The three global currency zones .. 13

2. When to trade ...14

3. What pairs to trade ... 14

4. How profit is measured in pips (or points) ... ...15

5. Pip (point) value of each currency pair 15

6. Lot sizes, margin and leverage .16

7. Difference of going long or short .17

Chapter 3 - Principles of Money Management

1. The major rules of money management ... ...19

2. How much of your account to trade with on each trade ... ..20

3. Pyramiding your profits ... 21

Chapter 4 Fundamental Analysis

1. The difference between fundamental and technical analysis ...24

2. How to use fundamental analysis in your trading strategy ..24

3. What factors influence the US dollar ... 24

4. What factors influence the USD/JPY ..28

5. What factors influence the EUR/USD .29

6. What factors influence the GBP/USD .31

7. What factors influence the USD/CHF .33

Chapter 5 Technical analysis

1. What technical Analysis is ... 36

2. Candlestick charts ... .37

3. Importance of knowing trends .....39

4. Moving average lines ... 42

5. How to draw trendlines 44

6. Trend Channels 49

7. Support and resistance .51

8. Explanation of the major chart patterns; how to recognize them and use them

to your advantage .53

9. Explanation of many technical indicators 63

10. Fibonacci retracements ... .71

Chapter 6 Importance of Stop Losses and Limit Orders

1. Difference between a stop loss and a limit order ... .74

2. Adjusting stop losses ... 75

Chapter 7 Differences of short, medium and long term trading .78

Chapter 8 - The 5Minute FOREX System.

1. Introduction to 5Minute FOREX ... ..80

2. Trend Reverse Levels ..80

3. Rules for entering trades .82

4. What pairs are traded with the 5Minute FOREX System ... .83

5. Adjusting stop losses and taking half profit .85

6. Rules for exiting trades ... .85

7. Notes about beginning to trade the 5Minute FOREX System ... ..85

8. What charts to use and how to set up the charts to trade the system ...88

9. Examples of 5Minute FOREX System trades .. ...92

10. Important considerations when trading the 5Minute FOREX system... ..94

11. Alternate Strategy for the 5Minute FOREX System . ..95

Chapter 9 Psychology of Trading

1. Psychological reasons people want to trade ... 100

2. Avoid trading like a gambler ... ..100

3. Importance of trading without emotions 101

4. Eliminating fear and greed ... ..102

5. Having the right mental attitude towards trading .. 104

Chapter 10 How to place trades

1. How to place trades electronically using the electronic dealing software.....107

2. Terminology when placing trades over the phone with the broker ...108

Chapter 11 21 Tips to Help Be A Successful Trader ...110

Chapter 12 7 Easy Steps to Getting Started .115

Chapter 13 Definitions of Terms You May Come Across in Trading ...117

CHAPTER 1 The Business of Trading Money 1

CHAPTER 2 Pivot Point Analysis, Filtering Methods,

and Moving Averages 65

CHAPTER 3 Candlestick Charting 107

CHAPTER 4 Traditional Chart Patterns 133

CHAPTER 5 Indicators and Oscillators:

Stochastics and MACD 151

CHAPTER 6 Fibonacci Combined with Pivot Points 169

CHAPTER 7 Elliott Wave Theory 181

CHAPTER 8 Trading Systems: Combining

Pivots with Indicators 199

CHAPTER 9 Selecting Your Trading Window Frames 225

CHAPTER 10 Risk and Trade Management:

Stop Selection, Scaling Out, and

Setting Profit Targets 233

CHAPTER 11 Game Psychology: Techniques

to Master Your Emotions 249

Postscript 257

Glossary 258

About the CD-ROM 275

Index 279

Chapter 1

WHAT IS FOREX? 1

If you have traveled internationally, you may already know something

about the forex market, today’s hottest marketplace. Discover

why you might want to trade forex.

Chapter 2

THE FOREX MARKETPLACE 11

The forex market is the world’s largest marketplace, dwarfing all

other markets combined. See how forex grew so large and how you

can participate.

Chapter 3

FUNDAMEN TALS AND FOREX 21

Forex traders can get plenty of information, sometimes so much that

it can be hard to sift through it all. Here are some reports a forex

trader needs to consider.

Chapter 4

APPLYING TECHNICAL ANALYSIS TO FOREX 35

With fundamental information overwhelming, many forex traders

analyze price action in charts. Chart patterns and indicators have

shortcomings, but see how predictive moving averages can help with

market forecasting.

VI

trade secrets

VI

Chapter 5

INTERMARKET ANALYSIS OF FOREX MARKETS 49

What happens in one market is influenced by what happens in a

number of related markets. Discover why single-market analysis

should give way to intermarket analysis in today’s global marketplace,

especially in forex markets, which are ideally suited for this

type of analysis.

Chapter 6

USING NEURAL NETWORKS TO ANALY ZE FOREX 63

With so many fundamentals and so much influence from related markets,

it’s hard to see all the patterns and relationships in the forex

market. Find out how neural networks can uncover hidden patterns

in data and select the best to make short-term market forecasts.

Chapter 7

TECHNICAL TACTICS FOR TRADING FOREX 71

Once you understand how the forex market works and the basics of

technical analysis, you are ready to put theory into practice. Here

are a few more practical tips and chart examples to help you apply

your knowledge to actual trading.

Chapter 8

WAVE OF THE FUTURE: SYNERGISTIC MARKET ANALYSIS 87

Using only one approach to trade no longer works in today’s global

markets. Successful trading requires the synthesis of technical,

intermarket and fundamental approaches.

TRADING RESOURCE GUIDE 93

ABOUT THE AUTHOR AND MARKET TECHNOLOGIES, LLC 105

 
  

 

  














  

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